Detailed Agenda |
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| 7:00 – 8:00 | — | Registration and Continental Breakfast | |||
| 8:00 – 8:10 | — | Opening Remarks Brian Klebash, Director of Events, GREENPEARL EVENTS Ryan Slack, CEO, GREENPEARL EVENTS |
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| 8:10 – 8:30 | — | California and Southwest Distressed Real Estate: How Much Debt is in Distress, Where, and Involving What Property Types?
Industry trends and patterns in commercial real estate are fast and furious. Distressed debt is not only the flavor of the month, but likely to be the flavor of 2010, and quite possibly, the early part of this decade. In this opening presentation, find out how much debt is in distress in the key southwest markets of Los Angeles, San Diego, Phoenix and Las Vegas. Additionally, discover just where the buying opportunities will exist in the coming years as more and more debt become due in all of the property types. Key Themes/Questions: Eric Entringer, Senior Manager, Distressed Real Estate Group, ERNST & YOUNG |
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| 8:30 – 9:15 | — | Seeking Distress: Who Will Deploy Capital in 2010?
Sage real estate investors continue to discuss the expectation of a “tidal wave” of distressed debt buying opportunities due to years of excessive leverage and landlords’ inability to find replacement capital in today’s climate. However, this “tidal wave” has not arrived to the extent many had predicted in late 2008/early 2009. Why? Are banks and lenders simply extending loans? And, will they continue to extend in 2010? Have TARP, TALF I & II, PPIP and other government interventions made any difference for investors looking to buy? Have investors used these government tools in unique JVs to purchase distressed debt? In this panel, hear from a diverse group of prominent equity sources who will describe the state of the distressed market today, and get a sense of their appetites for acquisitions in 2010. Will the “tidal wave” truly arrive in 2010? Or, will the industry see continued market stagnation and a few smaller, perhaps, only all-cash deals? Key Themes/Questions: Moderator: Jeffrey Lenobel, Partner, SCHULTE ROTH & ZABEL LLP |
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| 9:15 – 9:30 | — | Networking Break | |||
| 9:30 – 10:15 | — | Alternative, Traditional & Emerging Debt Sources: Who is lending?
Due to the virtual disappearance of the securitized debt market, Fannie & Freddie, combined, accounted for 92% of real estate acquisition and development financing in 2009. Now, however, it appears CMBS could be returning, albeit very slowly. Will CMBS see its shadow in 2010, or will there be a gradual thawing of the securitized debt market? If not, where will real estate investors and developers turn for debt capital? Key Themes/Questions: Moderator: Erich Beringer, President, SOUTHBRIDGE CAPITAL |
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| 10:15 – 11:00 | — | CONCURRENT SESSIONS
Track A – Buying, Selling & Determining Value: Sharp and Fast Decline… But Equally Sharp Return? What’s the Future Hold for California Commercial Real Estate Values? Commercial real estate values remain in flux, due to the lack of debt capital, and lack of cash flow in many property types, especially hospitality and retail. Now, industry experts are speculating a further decline may be likely as pension funds review asset allocations following events of the past 12-18 months. Wall Street’s gyrations, experts says, have resulted in losses across the board for pension funds with the end result of larger and unexpected real estate allocations. CalPERS, for example, increased its real estate allocation only months prior to a rapid descent in value of the stock market and real estate values. In this panel, learn about the factors that could impact real estate values going forward, and precisely how value is determined. Moderator: W. Eric Paulsen, Vice President, LNR PROPERTY CORPORATION Track B – Investment, Development and Finance Case Studies Investment, Development and Finance Case Studies
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| 11:00 – 11:15 | — | Networking Break | |||
| 11:15 – 12:00 | — | CONCURRENT SESSIONS
Track A – Hotels, Hotels, and More Hotels: Should Investors Buy Now, or Wait for Additional Declines in Value? Key Themes/Questions: - A look back at 2009: How did the luxury brands hold up in terms of vacancy rates and overall cash flow? Moderator: Robert B. Stiles, Executive Vice President & Principal, CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD SONNENBLICK-GOLDMAN, LLC Track B – Opportunities in Broken Condo Deals: Disposition, Acquisition and Administration of For-Sale Housing Assets Moderator: Terry Heller, Managing Member, Principal, HELLER HOLDINGS |
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| 12:00 – 12:30 |
— | Networking Lunch Break | |||
| 12:30 – 1:05 | — | Luncheon Discussion: Up Close with Spencer Levy, CB RICHARD ELLIS with Michael Gottlieb, Editor, CALIFORNIA REAL ESTATE JOURNAL Spencer Levy is responsible for overseeing and coordinating the activities of more than 300 investment sales and debt/equity finance professionals in the Eastern region of the United States. Recently, Levy was named head of CBRE’s Restructuring Services Group, which will oversee note sales, asset sales and recapitalizations. Additionally, the Restructuring Services Group will provide advisory services either for lenders or for borrowers before a foreclosure or a bankruptcy, and assist in restructuring or bankruptcy for creditors or debtors. Possible Talking Points: |
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| 1:05 – 1:50 | — | A Practical, Legal and Tax Perspective on Buying and Selling Distressed Real Estate and Debt in California Moderator: Maura O’Connor, Partner, SEYFARTH SHAW LLP Scott Bottles, Managing Director, WELLS FARGO BANK James Debree, Tax Partner, DELOITTE TAX Richard Kent, Senior Vice President, REDC COMMERCIAL Tim Meier, Partner, PREFERRED CAPITAL ADVISORS Kenneth W. Swenson, Assistant General Counsel, BANK OF AMERICA John Wickser, President, WATT REALTY ADVISORS |
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| 1:50 – 2:35 | — | CONCURRENT SESSIONS Track A- California Commercial Real Estate Investor Panel: Office, Retail and Industrial Executives Discuss Today’s Climate The value of assets in default, foreclosure or bankruptcy in the Los Angeles area is now $4.5 billion, according to Real Capital Analytics. Indeed, the Los Angeles area is not immune to the capital replacement challenge sweeping a commercial real estate nation in distress. In this panel, hear from prominent area investors, owners, developers and brokers who will bring the issue of expiring real estate debt into focus, and what it will mean for Los Angeles-area real estate. How are local investors approaching the current climate? Are they selling class B, C and tertiary holdings as way to raise capital? And, how are they approaching the distressed debt buying opportunity? Key Themes/Questions: -Are Los Angeles-area investors and owners eager to acquire new properties in a distressed debt environment, or are they attempting to maintain their existing portfolios? -Tenant relationships: How will the current down market impact the interpretation of existing leases and the negotiation of new leases and lease extensions? Bankruptcy? Force Majeure? -Should landlords go the extra mile for existing long-term tenants, anticipating an economic turnaround? Moderator: Fred B. Córdova, III, Senior Vice President / Investment Services Group, West Regional Manager, COLLIERS ASSET RESOLUTIONS TEAM Track B – Residential Real Estate Investor Power Panel Moderator: Richard M. Gollis, Co-Founder and Principal, THE CONCORD GROUP |
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| 2:35 – 3:20 | — | Track A – The “Workout Panel:” Years of Excessive Leverage Turn the Industry on Its Head…What’s Next for Investors and Owners?
Key Themes/Questions: Moderator: Glenn A. Fuller, Esq. Partner, JACKSON | DEMARCO | TIDUS | PECKENPAUGH Track B – Value Add & Property Conversions: Will 2010 Herald the Beginning of a New Real Estate Chapter Involving Conversions of Under-Performing Assets? Auto dealerships, former Mervyn’s and Linens & Things, are being repositioned in a distressed environment. Additionally, residential homes, and possible office buildings could be repositioned by owners who seek to raise value. Moderator: John D Troughton, Senior Director – Brokerage, CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD, INC. |
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| 3:20 – 3:35 | — | Networking Break | |||
| 3:35 – 4:15 | — | Delinquencies, Defaults, and Foreclosures: Analysis of the Distressed Note Buying Opportunities in Today’s Climate Find out just how to buy a distressed note in this discussion, and the opportunities that exist with special servicers, and in emerging opportunistic areas such as: B-Note CMBS, mezzanine notes, and distressed construction/development loans. Also, learn how to buy a distressed property out of receivership. Moderator: Terry Kaufmann, President, ROCKHOUSE CAPITAL, LLC David M. Frank, Chief Executive Officer, THE MERRILL GROUP OF COMPANIES William J. Hoffman, President & CEO, TRIGILD Troy Miller, Principal, OCEAN WEST CAPITAL PARTNERS Selina I. Parelskin, President, BEACON DEFAULT MANAGEMENT, INC David P. Stapleton, Founder, STAPLETON GROUP |
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| 4:15 – 5:00 |
— | Featured Panel: Economic Stimulation & Real Estate The nation’s unemployment rate is 10%, following the conclusion of a recession which began in December 2007 and apparently ended in late 2009. However, the unemployment rate in certain geographic areas, including California is higher than the national average, leading to a further erosion in real estate fundamentals. In this panel, hear from leading experts who will connect the dots between recession, recovery and unemployment to the future outlook for real estate acquisition and development activities in a distressed climate. Key Themes/Questions: - GDP grew at 5.7 in Q4: Is this an indicator of economic recovery? If not, what does this number truly tell us? -Have we turned the corner? Is new growth sustainable? What is the outlook for the next 12 months? - Correcting the Problem: Deleveraging. Where are we in the deleveraging process? Are government officials helping, or hurting? Are they attempting to “band-aid” the economic pain that would result from deleveraging? - Can we compare this current cycle to past cycles (1980-1991, 1990-1991, 2001-2002)? What did we learn in those cycles? And, what have we learned in the past two years? - Is the Obama Administration attacking real estate’s money sources, or is reform truly necessary? - Unemployment: Exploring the hidden ramifications (indirect and direct) on real estate. And, what will the unemployment picture look like in 6 months, 12 month and 18 months from now? Are we creating jobs? - Inflation: Fed policy “appears” to be inflationary–Is inflation going to be the result? - Where is the real estate market today, and what is a leading indicator of a rebound? Hear From: |
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| 5:15 – 6:00 | — | Cocktail Reception | |||
Portfolio lenders vs CMBS: How are debt maturities approached by the various lenders?